Lifestyle

A new political era

Simon Allister, Head of Wealth Planning, discusses the key changes that a Labour Government will bring and the considerations for wealth structuring.

Date
Author
Simon Allister, Partner and Head of Wealth Planning

Keir Starmer stands at a podium to give a speech

 

The Labour government's recent electoral victory signals the beginning of a transformative period for the UK's fiscal and legislative landscape. As Labour prepares to implement its manifesto pledges, significant changes to the tax system and public funding are expected. Ahead of entering this new political era, here’s an overview of what we can expect.

Potential timescale for legislative changes

In the UK, legislative changes are typically announced during either the Spring Budget or the Autumn Statement. The next significant fiscal event is the Autumn Statement. For the Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, to deliver the Autumn Statement, she must request a forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and give them a 10-week notice period. Given these procedural requirements, the earliest likely date for the Autumn Statement is mid-September, although it could also take place in October. The specific date should be confirmed over the coming days before the Commons' summer recess.

Anticipated legislative changes

Labour's manifesto emphasises reducing national debt as a proportion to GDP together with ensuring that the UK’s day-to-day costs are met by revenues. Although details remain sparse, there is a consensus that tax increases are inevitable.

Capital Gains Tax (CGT)

Currently, the UK has five separate rates of CGT, creating a complex system. The Labour government may simplify this by reducing the number of rates, potentially leading to an overall increase in CGT rates for investors. Currently, gains within the basic rate threshold are taxed at 10% or 18% depending on the assets being disposed of and those within the higher rates are taxed at 20%, 24% or 28% again, depending on the assets being sold. 

A more extreme scenario might involve aligning CGT with income tax rates, although this would likely require an indexation allowance adding a significant degree of additional complexity.

Income Tax

In the Autumn Statement of 2022, it was announced that the Personal Allowance and tax thresholds would remain frozen until 6th April 2028. This freeze is expected to continue under the Labour government. Additionally, there has been historical differentiation between tax rates on dividend income and other income sources, with dividend income being taxed at lower rates. Although the manifesto discounted raising income tax, some industry experts believe that Labour may increase tax rates on dividends to bring them in line with the rates applied to earned income, interest income and other sources of income.

The taxation of pensions

Significant changes to pension taxation were introduced in April 2023, including the abolition of the Lifetime Allowance (LTA) tax charge and the introduction of new allowances: the Lump Sum Allowance (LSA), the Lump Sum & Death Benefit Allowance (LS&DBA) and the Overseas Transfer Allowance (OTA). These changes primarily benefit individuals with large pension funds. However, Labour may perceive the current tax treatment of pensions as overly generous, particularly for wealthy individuals. As a result, it is possible that Labour will seek to legislate against this perceived generosity. Speculated potential changes include restricting tax relief on personal pension contributions to the basic rate (20%), introducing a "death tax charge" on pension death benefits and bringing pension funds within the scope of UK inheritance tax (IHT).

VAT on school fees

Labour’s pledge to introduce VAT on private school fees has garnered significant attention. This move would end the current VAT exemption for private schools, which significantly reduces costs for those opting for private education. Ola Adeosun, Head of Regional Wealth Planning, recently touched on this matter in further detail here.

The taxation of “non-dom” individuals

Labour’s manifesto includes a pledge to abolish the remittance basis of taxation, replacing it with a “more modern scheme” tailored for individuals that are “genuinely in the country for a short period”. Additionally, Labour intends to “end the use of offshore trusts to avoid inheritance tax”, a continuation on the sizeable reforms announced in the March Budget. However, it is expected that Labour will further tighten these regulations, it is more a question of timing.

In summary, Labour's victory signals a new political era marked by significant fiscal and legislative reforms. As the government moves to implement its policies, careful consideration and strategic planning will be essential to navigate this evolving landscape. The upcoming Autumn Statement will likely provide more clarity on the specific measures to be introduced, setting the stage for Labour’s ambitious agenda. It makes sense for individuals to consider their own position within the context of these reforms now, to avoid any unwanted surprises.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. The information presented herein provides a general update on market conditions and is not intended and should not be construed as an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any specific investment or participate in any investment (or other) strategy. The subject of the communication is not a regulated investment. Past performance is not an indication of future performance and the value of investments and the income derived from them may fluctuate and you may not receive back the amount you originally invest. Although this document has been prepared on the basis of information we believe to be reliable, LGT Wealth Management UK LLP gives no representation or warranty in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information presented herein. The information presented herein does not provide sufficient information on which to make an informed investment decision. No liability is accepted whatsoever by LGT Wealth Management UK LLP, employees and associated companies for any direct or consequential loss arising from this document.

LGT Wealth Management UK LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom.

shutterstock_1587068854
Market View

What to expect from a Labour government?

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's decision to bring forward the general election to 4 July was unexpected, yet it has caused little market reaction. Labour is widely accepted to win the upcoming election, with expectations for policies promoting a pro-business and pro-worker environment, emphasising...
hand places card in ballot box with French flag behind
Market View

Macron’s snap election and the effect on markets

Following his dismal performance in the European Parliament elections on 9 June, French President Emmanuel Macron called for a snap election, an effort to discredit Marine Le Pen’s populist National Rally as a serious party of government.
Contact us